FIFA World Cup 2026 Odds
The FIFA World Cup is, the single biggest betting event on the planet, is finally being played on American soil for the first time in 32 years.
It goes without saying that every major sportsbook in the country will carry full coverage, from outright winner futures to individual match lines to player props where the betting volume is expected to shatter every previous record.
Therefore, we have dedicated a page where we cover everything you need to know regarding betting on the 2026 World Cup. The site will be updated as the tournament continues.
- Upcoming H2H odds for the FIFA World Cup
- Where to Find the Best Odds for the World Cup
- Odds on Upcoming USA Fixtures
- Odds on who to win the World Cup
- How to Bet on the FIFA world cup
- The Most Popular World Cup Markets for American Bettors
- What Are Team USA's Chances in the World Cup?
- Terms Glossary for World Cup Betting
Upcoming H2H odds for the FIFA World Cup
Where to Find the Best Odds for the World Cup
-
#1EDITOR’S PICK
Up to $1,500 back in Bonus Bets if first bet losesPayout Instant – 3 Days Licensed & Legal Min $5 iOS & AndroidUp to $1,500 back in Bonus Bets if your first bet loses, making it one of the largest first-bet offers available MGM Rewards program converts betting activity into points redeemable at MGM and Marriott properties nationwide Official partner of the NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, and PGA Tour, with deep market coverage across all major American sportsPROMO CODE BETMGMBONUS -
#2
Second Chance Bet up to $500Licensed & Legal iOS & AndroidRushPay is the fastest withdrawal system in US sports betting, with PayPal payouts arriving in as little as 30 minutes iRush Rewards earns points on every real-money wager, one of the strongest loyalty programs for sportsbook players First US sportsbook to offer live streaming, still one of the broadest streaming selections availablePROMO CODE SPORTS -
#3
Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus BetsPayout 24h Licensed & Legal Min $5 iOS & AndroidBest same-game parlay product in the US market App is consistently rated among the fastest and most intuitive available Withdrawals via PayPal and debit typically clear within 24 hoursPROMO CODE No code required -
#4
Bet $1, Get 10 x 100% Profit Boost TokensLicensed & Legal iOS & AndroidCaesars Rewards ties sportsbook wagering to 50+ properties including hotels, restaurants, and entertainment venues, with real-world redemptions no competitor matches 24/7 support via phone, live chat, email, and Twitter, which is more accessible than any other US sportsbook NFL live streaming available in-app through a Genius Sports partnership, one of only a handful of US books to offer thisPROMO CODE GODYW -
#5
Up to $1,000 in FanCashPayout 24h Licensed & Legal Min $5 iOS & AndroidFanCash rewards earn on every bet and redeem for real sports merchandise at Fanatics.com, something no other sportsbook offers Fair Play policy refunds player prop bets when a player exits early with injury, covering all major sports including the entire first half of NBA games Multiple welcome offers by state, giving new users a choice rather than a single fixed promotionPROMO CODE No code required
Obviously, you can bet on the World Cup at most top sportsbooks and betting apps like BetMGM, Caesars, DraftKings, FanDuel, Fanatics, and BetRivers.
What we recommend though is having accounts at three or more of these books and compare odds before placing any bets.
On futures markets for instance, the difference between +450 and +550 on the same team represents a meaningful difference in payout on a $100 bet. The futures market carries high vig, so getting the best available price is more important here than on game lines.
When it comes to individual match three-way moneylines, differences of 10 to 20 odds points between books are common. At +240 vs. +220 on a draw, you are leaving real money on the table if you do not shop.
On player props, some books are significantly more aggressive in pricing anytime scorer markets than others. Comparing Mbappé’s anytime scorer price across DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM before a France match will almost always reveal a price difference worth acting on.
| Sportsbook | Known strength for World Cup betting |
|---|---|
| DraftKings | Deepest props menu, competitive futures |
| FanDuel | Clean interface, competitive moneylines |
| BetMGM | Strong futures pricing, international markets |
| Caesars | Competitive group stage lines |
Odds on Upcoming USA Fixtures
Odds on who to win the World Cup
The tournament winner market is where most long-term World Cup betting happens. Odds are available at every major sportsbook right now and will shift continuously from now through the final on July 19.
| Team | BetRivers | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 France | +450 | 18.2% |
| 2 Spain | +450 | 18.2% |
| 3 England | +700 | 12.5% |
| 4 Portugal | +800 | 11.1% |
| 5 Argentina | +900 | 10.0% |
| 6 Brazil | +1100 | 8.3% |
| 7 Germany | +1400 | 6.7% |
| 8 Netherlands | +1600 | 5.9% |
| 9 Morocco | +3300 | 2.9% |
| 10 Norway | +3300 | 2.9% |
| 11 Belgium | +4000 | 2.4% |
| 12 Colombia | +4000 | 2.4% |
Who I believe will win the World Cup
The favorites in brief
Spain enter as the slight favorite on most boards. Spain enters the tournament as the favorite, boasting elite form and holding the number one FIFA ranking since September 2025. Their midfield, anchored by Pedri, Gavi, and Rodri, is considered the best in the world, and Lamine Yamal gives them a match-winner in attack.
The concern is that pre-tournament favorites rarely win the World Cup. Since 2006, only France in 2018 managed to defy this pattern, with typical winners starting with an implied probability of 9 to 14 percent rather than the 15 to 17 percent range where Spain and France currently sit.
France have the deepest squad of any team in the tournament. Kylian Mbappé at the peak of his powers, a strong defensive core, and world-class options across every position make them the most complete side in the field. They reached the final in both 2018 and 2022 and are built to go deep again.
England are contenders for the first time in a generation. Harry Kane leads the attack, Jude Bellingham and Phil Foden provide creativity in midfield, and Bukayo Saka offers a consistent threat from wide. England’s tournament record has historically underperformed their pre-tournament billing, which is why value hunters often look at them as a middle-ground bet.
Brazil carry massive betting interest as always but have shown inconsistency in recent international tournaments. With attacking stars like Vinícius Júnior, Rodrygo, and Savinho expected to trouble defenses, Brazil could be an appealing choice in the futures market.
Argentina arrive as defending champions. An aging core including Messi, Otamendi, and Di María has led to a defending champion discount impacting their current odds compared to 2022.
Messi playing on home continent soil in what is almost certainly his final World Cup creates an enormous storyline, and he remains capable of decisive moments even if this squad is not as deep as the 2022 version.
How to Bet on the FIFA world cup
If you are used to betting NFL or NBA, soccer betting has a few important structural differences worth understanding before placing your first World Cup wager.
In most American sports, there are only two possible outcomes. In soccer during the group stage, a draw is a common result and is offered as a separate bet. This means every group stage match has three possible outcomes to bet on where Team A wins, draw, or Team B wins.
| Market | Outcome | Odds | $100 bet profit |
| USA vs. Paraguay | USA win | -140 | $71 |
| USA vs. Paraguay | Draw | +240 | $240 |
| USA vs. Paraguay | Paraguay win | +380 | $380 |
This is different from the two-way moneylines you see in NFL or NBA. All three outcomes are available during the group stage and in games through 90 minutes during the knockout rounds.
Draw No Bet
Because draws are common in soccer and can feel frustrating when you back a team that plays out a tie, many sportsbooks offer a Draw No Bet market.
Here you pick a team to win, but if the game ends in a draw, your stake is refunded rather than lost. You give up some potential payout compared to the standard three-way line in exchange for protection against the draw.
| Market | Outcome | Odds | $100 bet profit |
| Draw No Bet: USA | USA win | -180 | $56 |
| Draw No Bet: USA | Paraguay win | +145 | $145 |
| Draw if draw | Push, stake refunded | N/A | N/A |
Extra time and the moneyline
On game wagers, the three-way moneyline covers 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If the match goes to extra time, the draw is paid out as a winning bet regardless of the final outcome. This is one of the most important rules to understand in World Cup betting.
If you bet on a team on the standard moneyline in a knockout game and they win in extra time, the standard moneyline bet has already settled as a draw and lost. For knockout round games where extra time is possible, check whether you are betting on 90 minutes or the full match including extra time.
No point spread in soccer
Soccer does not use a point spread in the same way football and basketball do. Instead, sportsbooks offer an Asian handicap market, which works similarly to a spread by giving one team a goal advantage.
A -1.5 Asian handicap on a favorite means they need to win by 2 or more goals for the bet to cash. This market is less common on US sportsbooks for casual bettors and most casual World Cup betting centers on the three-way moneyline, totals, and player props.
Totals in soccer
Soccer totals are set much lower than other sports. A typical match total is set at 2.5 goals, meaning you bet on whether the combined goals scored by both teams will be over or under that number.
| Total | Over odds | Under odds | $100 bet profit (over) | $100 bet profit (under) |
| 2.5 goals | -130 | +108 | $77 | $108 |
| 2.5 goals | -110 | -110 | $91 | $91 |
| 3.5 goals | +155 | -185 | $155 | $54 |
Games between strong defensive teams or in high-pressure knockout situations often go under. Group stage games between top teams and weaker opponents tend to produce more goals.
Weather, altitude, and stadium conditions also play a role at a tournament spread across three countries with very different climates.
Group Stage Odds – Betting the Groups
With 12 groups of four teams each, the group stage offers a wide range of betting markets. The two most popular are group winner and to advance from the group.
How group stage betting works
Each team plays three matches in the group stage. The top two teams from each group automatically advance to the Round of 32. The eight best third-place finishers across all 12 groups also advance, meaning 32 teams make the knockout stage total.
Group winner odds reflect which team the market expects to top the group. To advance odds reflect the probability of finishing in the top two.
Since only two teams are eliminated in the group stage from each group of four, to advance odds on favorites can be very short, offering little value. The better opportunity is often in identifying which second team advances from a competitive group.
My Dark horse in the group stage – Norway
Dan Anderson
Senior Sports Betting AnalystThey’ve never been to a World Cup in my lifetime but this his is Erling Haaland at the peak of his powers, surrounded by a generation of Norwegian players who have grown up competing at the highest level of European club football week in week out.
I’m not saying Norway win the tournament, that would be delusional but I do think they stand a good chance in winning the group stage.
Golden Boot Odds
The Golden Boot is awarded to the player who scores the most goals in the tournament. It is one of the most popular individual betting markets at every World Cup and one where value can often be found beyond the obvious frontrunners.
Current Golden Boot odds (Example)
| Player | Country | Odds | $100 bet profit | Implied probability |
| Kylian Mbappé | France | +600 | $600 | 14.3% |
| Harry Kane | England | +700 | $700 | 12.5% |
| Lionel Messi | Argentina | +1200 | $1200 | 7.7% |
| Erling Haaland | Norway | +1400 | $1400 | 6.7% |
| Lamine Yamal | Spain | +1800 | $1800 | 5.3% |
| Cristiano Ronaldo | Portugal | +2000 | $2000 | 4.8% |
| Lautaro Martínez | Argentina | +2000 | $2000 | 4.8% |
| Ousmane Dembélé | France | +2000 | $2000 | 4.8% |
| Vinícius Júnior | Brazil | +2500 | $2500 | 3.8% |
| Álvaro Morata | Spain | +2500 | $2500 | 3.8% |
| Bukayo Saka | England | +4000 | $4000 | 2.4% |
| Jude Bellingham | England | +5000 | $5000 | 2.0% |
| Mohamed Salah | Egypt | +5000 | $5000 | 2.0% |
What to know before betting the Golden Boot
Kylian Mbappé is the consensus favorite and for good reason. France are priced second in the tournament winner odds, meaning Mbappé is likely to play deep into July. He won the Golden Boot in 2022 with eight goals, including a hat-trick in the final, and already has 12 World Cup goals in 14 career appearances.
Harry Kane has spent his international career waiting for a tournament run to match his club output. He is England’s all-time leading scorer and is surrounded by the most talented English squad in a generation. England are expected to go deep, which gives Kane the games needed to accumulate goals.
Erling Haaland is the most interesting name in the top five. Norway are not expected to go deep, which means Haaland needs to be extraordinary in a short window. If Norway exit in the Round of 32, Haaland has a maximum of four matches. His goal rate at club level is historic, but tournament depth is everything in this market.
The most important thing to understand about the Golden Boot is that team advancement drives individual goal totals.
A striker on a team that goes all the way to the final plays seven matches. A striker on a team knocked out in the Round of 32 plays four. Backing a frontrunner on a team with genuine title credentials is generally smarter than backing an elite scorer on a weaker side.
Seventy percent of recent Golden Boot winners have scored half or more of their goals in the group stage. With the expanded field bringing in less experienced nations, elite forwards will have favorable early matchups to build a scoring lead before the knockout rounds begin.
The Most Popular World Cup Markets for American Bettors
Player props are where a significant portion of American World Cup betting happens, especially for casual bettors who want a specific player or moment to root for.
The main categories are anytime goalscorer, first goalscorer, player shot totals, and assists.
Anytime goalscorer odds (Example)
Anytime goalscorer is a bet on a player to score at least one goal in a specific match. It is one of the most popular World Cup bet types and is available for every game at every major sportsbook.
| Player | Match | Anytime scorer odds | $100 bet profit |
| Kylian Mbappé | France vs. Norway | -145 | $69 |
| Harry Kane | England vs. Panama | -175 | $57 |
| Lamine Yamal | Spain vs. Cape Verde | -130 | $77 |
| Erling Haaland | Norway vs. France | +110 | $110 |
| Christian Pulisic | USA vs. Paraguay | +170 | $170 |
| Vinícius Júnior | Brazil vs. Haiti | -160 | $63 |
First goalscorer odds (Example)
First goalscorer is harder to win but pays much better. You are betting on a specific player to score the very first goal of the match.
| Player | Odds | $100 bet profit |
| Kylian Mbappé (first scorer) | +350 | $350 |
| Harry Kane (first scorer) | +400 | $400 |
| Erling Haaland (first scorer) | +450 | $450 |
| Lamine Yamal (first scorer) | +500 | $500 |
| Christian Pulisic (first scorer) | +700 | $700 |
Shot on target props (Example)
Many books offer over/under lines on how many shots on target a player will register in a given match. These are particularly popular for elite forwards with high shot volumes.
| Player | Shots on target line | Over odds | Under odds |
| Mbappé vs. Norway | 1.5 | -115 | -105 |
| Kane vs. Panama | 2.5 | +130 | -155 |
| Haaland vs. France | 1.5 | -120 | -102 |
| Yamal vs. Cape Verde | 1.5 | -110 | -110 |
Tournament Special Bets (Example)
Beyond the winner and Golden Boot, sportsbooks offer a range of tournament-wide special markets for the World Cup.
Tournament specials odds
| Market | Option | Odds | $100 bet profit |
| Golden Glove (best goalkeeper) | Manuel Neuer | +600 | $600 |
| Golden Glove | Gianluigi Donnarumma | +700 | $700 |
| Golden Ball (best player) | Kylian Mbappé | +350 | $350 |
| Golden Ball | Lamine Yamal | +450 | $450 |
| Golden Ball | Lionel Messi | +600 | $600 |
| Total goals in tournament | Over 148.5 | -110 | $91 |
| Total goals in tournament | Under 148.5 | -110 | $91 |
| Host nation to win tournament | USA | +6500 | $6500 |
| European team to win | Yes | -200 | $50 |
| South American team to win | Yes | +165 | $165 |
| Final goes to extra time | Yes | +275 | $275 |
| Final won on penalties | Yes | +450 | $450 |
The European vs. South American split is worth noting. No team from outside those two confederations has ever won the World Cup, and with the expanded field, the gap between elite European and South American nations and the rest of the field remains significant.
What Are Team USA’s Chances in the World Cup?
For American bettors, Team USA is the most discussed side regardless of where the odds sit. At +6500, the market assigns them roughly a 1.5% chance of winning the tournament, which reflects an honest assessment of where US Soccer stands relative to Spain, France, and the other elite sides.
That said, there are genuine betting angles around Team USA that go beyond the outright winner market.
To advance from the group is the most realistic near-term market. The United States is in Group D alongside Paraguay, Australia, and Türkiye. This is a genuinely competitive group with no obvious walkover, but the US is priced as a moderate favorite to advance. Home crowd support across both Los Angeles and Seattle games, the advantage of no travel, and the familiarity of the stadiums all work in their favor during the group stage.
Individual player props are where American bettors often find the most engagement, that for instance Christian Pulisic, Gio Reyna, and other US stars will be anytime scorer and shot on target props available for every match.
The odds on American players are not necessarily mispriced, but they generate enormous betting volume from fans who want a stake in the action.
To reach the Round of 16 is priced around -115 for the US, reflecting the fact that advancing from this group is more likely than not. Getting through to the Round of 16 from a 32-team bracket is a realistic outcome even for a side that does not contend for the title.
| USA tournament market | Odds | $100 bet profit | Implied probability |
| To win the World Cup | +6500 | $6500 | 1.5% |
| To win Group D | +185 | $185 | 35.1% |
| To advance from Group D | -250 | $40 | 71.4% |
| To reach quarterfinals | +450 | $450 | 18.2% |
| To reach semifinals | +900 | $900 | 10.0% |
| To reach the final | +2000 | $2000 | 4.8% |
What to Know Before Betting the World Cup
In the group stage, nearly one in four games ends in a draw. If you are used to betting two-outcome markets, the three-way moneyline requires an adjustment in thinking. A team you expect to win comfortably might still draw, and that bet loses even if they outplay the opponent for 90 minutes.
A key player missing for a World Cup match can shift the moneyline by 50 to 100 odds points within minutes of confirmation. Following team news closely and getting bets placed before confirmed absences go public is one of the clearest edges available to sharp bettors.
The expanded format creates unusual group dynamics. With the top two plus eight best third-place teams advancing, some late group stage games are played between teams that have already qualified. Motivation can be reduced and lineups rotated in those circumstances. Be cautious about betting on games where nothing significant is at stake for one or both sides.
Altitude and travel affect performance at this tournament. With games spread across three countries and massive geographic distances, teams flying between Mexico City and Seattle face very different conditions. Games at altitude in Mexico City and games in the summer heat of Houston and Miami have historically produced different results than neutral-climate matches.
Terms Glossary for World Cup Betting
- Three-way moneyline is a soccer-specific market with three possible outcomes: Team A wins, draw, or Team B wins. All three must be priced separately. Standard in the group stage and for 90-minute betting in knockout rounds.
- Draw No Bet is a market where you back a team to win, but if the match ends in a draw your stake is refunded. You give up some payout potential in exchange for draw protection.
- Asian handicap gives one team a fractional or whole goal head start. A -1.5 handicap on a favorite means they need to win by 2 or more goals. Common on international betting sites and increasingly available at US books.
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS) is a market on whether both teams will score at least one goal each, regardless of the final result.
- Anytime goalscorer is a bet on a player to score at least once during a match. One of the most popular World Cup individual markets.
- First goalscorer is a bet on a specific player to score the very first goal of the match. Pays significantly more than anytime scorer but is much harder to win.
- Golden Boot is the award given to the tournament’s top scorer. Betting markets on the Golden Boot are available throughout the entire tournament.
- Golden Ball is the award given to the best player of the tournament as voted by media and FIFA representatives. A popular tournament special market.
- Group winner is a futures bet on which team will finish first in their group after the three group stage matches.
- To advance is a bet on a team to finish in the top two of their group, or in the case of this expanded format, to be among the eight best third-place finishers.
- Round of 32 is a new knockout round introduced in the 2026 format, the first round of elimination after the group stage, featuring 32 teams.
- Extra time moneyline is a market that covers the full match including extra time if played. Different from the standard three-way moneyline which covers only 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
- Outright winner is a futures bet on which team will win the entire tournament. Also called the champion or tournament winner market.
- Implied probability is the likelihood of an outcome as expressed by the odds. At +450, the implied probability is 18.2%. At +6500, it is 1.5%.
- Line shopping is comparing odds across multiple sportsbooks before placing a bet to ensure you are getting the best available price.
Dan Anderson
Senior Sports Betting AnalystAs every serious bettor has, I’ve been burned by England before.
And yet here I am, cheering that football is coming home, convincing myself that the squad is the best England have assembled in my lifetime.